In a crucial game in the playoff race, we expect a cagey encounter as both sides look to avoid giving up key chances. We cannot quite pick a winner and instead opt for a share of the spoils at Vale Park, as the visitors should have enough to leave with a point given their form since the turn of the year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Mansfield Town
43.66%	27.6%	28.73%

Both teams to score 47.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.68%

58.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.06%

78.94%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.48%

26.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.28%

61.71%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.98%

36.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.2%

72.79%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 43.65%

Mansfield Town 28.73%

Draw 27.6%

Port Vale	Draw	Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 12.67% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.02% Total : 43.65%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.6%	0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.95% Total : 28.73%