Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 28.63% and a draw has a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.09%).