The last two meetings between the sides have ended all square and with no team wanting to see their unbeaten run come to an end, we think Tuesday's contest may result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Newport County
26.04%	27.92%	46.04%

Both teams to score 44.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.3%

60.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.23%

80.76%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.42%

39.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.74%

76.26%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6%

26.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44%

61.55%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 26.04%

Newport County 46.04%

Draw 27.9%

Carlisle United	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.42% Total : 26.04%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 13.91% 0-2 @ 9.27% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-3 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.37% 1-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.94% Total : 46.04%