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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Bala Town |
23.93% ( -0.01) | 24.16% ( -0.01) | 51.91% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.82% ( 0.03) | 48.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.66% ( 0.02) | 70.34% ( -0.02) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.47% ( 0.01) | 34.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.76% ( 0.01) | 71.24% ( -0.01) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( 0.02) | 18.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.21% ( 0.03) | 49.79% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.13% Total : 23.93% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.09% 1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.9% |
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