Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Barry Town United |
31.6% ( 0.01) | 24.65% ( 0) | 43.76% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.69% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.81% ( -0.02) | 45.19% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.47% ( -0.02) | 67.53% ( 0.02) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.78% ( -0) | 27.22% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.36% ( -0.01) | 62.64% ( 0.01) |
Barry Town United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.27% ( -0.01) | 20.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.64% ( -0.02) | 53.36% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Barry Town United |
2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3% Total : 31.6% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.76% |
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