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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 1
Barry

Woollam (11')
Lewis (87'), Canavan (90'), Thorn (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Patten (20' pen.)
Patten (53')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Haverfordwest
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawBarry Town United
31.6% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 24.65% (0.0040000000000013 0) 43.76% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)45.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)67.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.22% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27% (-0.012 -0.01)20.73% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)53.36% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 31.6%
    Barry Town United 43.76%
    Draw 24.64%
Aberystwyth TownDrawBarry Town United
2-1 @ 7.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.6%
1-1 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 4.77% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Colwyn Bay
Friday, February 9 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-0 Haverfordwest
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-4 Barry
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-0 Colwyn Bay
Friday, January 5 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, December 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Haverfordwest
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-2 Barry
Saturday, February 10 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 0-3 Pontypridd
Saturday, February 3 at 1pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-4 Barry
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 4-0 Newtown
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 0-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, December 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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