Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberystwyth Town would win this match.
