SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Port Vale |
28.13% ( 0.03) | 25.7% ( -0) | 46.17% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.59% ( 0.03) | 51.41% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% ( 0.03) | 73.22% ( -0.03) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( 0.05) | 32.81% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.62% ( 0.05) | 69.38% ( -0.05) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% | 22.25% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.32% ( -0) | 55.68% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.13% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 46.17% |
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