Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.15%) and 0-1 (4.75%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
36.73% ( -1.05)	21.59% ( 0.17)	41.67% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 70.86% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.33% (

-1.04)

28.67% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.43% (

-1.29)

49.56% (

1.28)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.21% (

-0.9)

16.78% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.25% (

-1.62)

46.74% (

1.61)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.16% (

-0.12)

14.83% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.85% (

-0.21)

43.14% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 36.73%

Central Coast Mariners 41.67%

Draw 21.59%

Adelaide United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.4% Total : 36.73%	1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.59%	1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) 3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 41.67%