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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
46.35% ( -0.17) | 22.17% ( 0.07) | 31.48% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 66.7% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.65% ( -0.33) | 33.35% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.87% ( -0.38) | 55.12% ( 0.37) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% ( -0.18) | 15.01% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.53% ( -0.35) | 43.47% ( 0.34) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( -0.11) | 21.53% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.41% ( -0.17) | 54.59% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 46.35% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 31.48% |
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