Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.2%) and 1-0 (4.92%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
42.17% (![]() | 21.69% (![]() | 36.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 70.33% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.69% (![]() | 29.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.64% (![]() | 50.35% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.08% (![]() | 14.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.7% (![]() | 43.29% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.66% (![]() | 17.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.28% (![]() | 47.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 8.2% (![]() 3-1 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.37% Total : 42.17% | 1-1 @ 8.62% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.19% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 7.55% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 36.13% |
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