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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 28
May 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Al-Ahli
1 - 2
Al-Hilal

Albirakan (30')
Kessie (70'), Demiral (70'), Yaslam (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mitrovic (52'), Malcom (89')
Tambakti (50')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Ahli 4-1 Damac
Thursday, May 2 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 1-3 Al-Hilal

Buoyed by their impressive victory over Damac, Al-Ahli will head into Monday's game looking to dent Al-Hilal's title charge. However, Jesus's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to come away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl-Hilal
22.68% (-0.361 -0.36) 24.14% (0.539 0.54) 53.17% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-2.151 -2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (-2.636 -2.64)49.31% (2.627 2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63% (-2.423 -2.42)71.36% (2.414 2.41)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-1.795 -1.8)36.28% (1.786 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-1.866 -1.87)73.06% (1.856 1.86)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.51% (-1.057 -1.06)18.48% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.3% (-1.81 -1.81)49.69% (1.801 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 22.68%
    Al-Hilal 53.17%
    Draw 24.13%
Al-AhliDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.398 0.4)
2-1 @ 5.82% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.45% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.68%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.692 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.284 -0.28)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.82 0.82)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 9.56% (0.382 0.38)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-3 @ 5.38% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-4 @ 2.27% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al-Ahli 4-1 Damac
Thursday, May 2 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 2-1 Al-Ahli
Thursday, April 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-0 Al Ittihad
Monday, April 1 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al-Ahli
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 0-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 0-3 Al-Hilal
Friday, May 3 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Al Fateh
Friday, April 26 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Ain
Tuesday, April 23 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ain 4-2 Al-Hilal
Wednesday, April 17 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-4 Al-Hilal
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-0 Al Okhdood
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League


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