Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 1-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.
Result | ||
Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Ittihad |
53.61% ( 0.06) | 21.31% ( 0.02) | 25.07% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 64.54% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.02% ( -0.16) | 33.98% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.16% ( -0.18) | 55.84% ( 0.18) |
Al-Hilal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% ( -0.03) | 12.88% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.71% ( -0.07) | 39.28% ( 0.07) |
Al Ittihad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% ( -0.14) | 25.91% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.09% ( -0.19) | 60.91% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Ittihad |
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 53.62% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.07% |
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