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AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
2 - 0
Al Ittihad

Mitrovic (40' pen.), Al-Dawsari (42')
Milinkovic-Savic (79'), Koulibaly (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kante (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Ittihad

Al-Hilal are showing no signs of slowing down, and we do not see that stopping on Tuesday against a side in Al Ittihad who have been inconsistent defensively, with players and coaches struggling to get along. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 1-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Ittihad
53.61% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 21.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 25.07% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 64.54% (-0.145 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.02% (-0.157 -0.16)33.98% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.16% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)55.84% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)12.88% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.71% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)39.28% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (-0.139 -0.14)25.91% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (-0.19 -0.19)60.91% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 53.62%
    Al Ittihad 25.07%
    Draw 21.31%
Al-HilalDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.038 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.79% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 53.62%
1-1 @ 9.24% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.34% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 25.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Al Ittihad
Friday, March 1 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-2 Al-Hilal
Monday, February 26 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Sepahan
Thursday, February 22 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Al Raed
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Sepahan 1-3 Al-Hilal
Thursday, February 15 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al-Nassr
Thursday, February 8 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Al Ittihad
Friday, March 1 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al Wahda
Monday, February 26 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-1 Navbahor
Thursday, February 22 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-0 Al Riyadh
Sunday, February 18 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Navbahor 0-0 Al Ittihad
Thursday, February 15 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Tai 0-3 Al Ittihad
Wednesday, February 7 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League


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