SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Algeria | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Algeria | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 11.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.74%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Burkina Faso |
66.98% ( 0.18) | 21.51% ( -0.15) | 11.51% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 37.83% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.72% ( 0.43) | 56.28% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.68% ( 0.34) | 77.31% ( -0.35) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( 0.2) | 16.09% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.51% ( 0.38) | 45.48% ( -0.38) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.09% ( 0.19) | 54.91% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.17% ( 0.12) | 87.82% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Algeria | Draw | Burkina Faso |
| 1-0 @ 16.14% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 14.74% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.22% Total : 66.98% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.51% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 11.51% |
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