SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
25.38% ( -0.02) | 24.09% ( 0.14) | 50.53% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% ( -0.62) | 46.6% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% ( -0.58) | 68.87% ( 0.58) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( -0.35) | 32.44% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.04% ( -0.39) | 68.96% ( 0.39) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( -0.28) | 18.47% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.32% ( -0.48) | 49.67% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.53% |
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