SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.47%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Ecuador |
67.56% ( -0.02) | 20.22% ( 0.01) | 12.22% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.26% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.01% ( 0) | 49.98% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.03% ( 0) | 71.97% ( -0) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( -0) | 13.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.78% ( -0.01) | 41.22% ( 0.01) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.21% ( 0.02) | 49.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.49% ( 0.02) | 84.51% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Ecuador |
| 1-0 @ 13.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.47% 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.19% 4-0 @ 4.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 67.55% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.22% | 0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 12.22% |
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