SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 85.6%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 3.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.96%) and 1-0 (12.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Paraguay |
85.6% ( -0.73) | 10.95% ( 0.52) | 3.45% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 29.65% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.86% ( -1.3) | 41.14% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.46% ( -1.33) | 63.54% ( 1.33) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.07% ( -0.42) | 6.93% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.57% ( -1.13) | 25.42% ( 1.13) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 31.86% ( 0.21) | 68.14% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 5.72% ( 0.08) | 94.28% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Paraguay |
| 2-0 @ 16.82% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 14.96% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.45)4-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.33)2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)7-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.52% Total : 85.58% | 1-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 10.95% | 0-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.72% Total : 3.45% |
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