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Argentine Primera Division
Apr 28, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
0 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield win 4-2 on penalties

Prieto (25'), Vega (45+3')
FT

Vecino (90')
Romero (14')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
48.25% (0.778 0.78) 27.03% (-0.218 -0.22) 24.73% (-0.558 -0.56)
Both teams to score 45.78% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.51% (0.389 0.39)58.49% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.93% (0.304 0.3)79.07% (-0.3 -0.3)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (0.542 0.54)24.33% (-0.539 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28% (0.76 0.76)58.72% (-0.757 -0.76)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (-0.287 -0.29)39.51% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8% (-0.271 -0.27)76.2% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 48.24%
    Velez Sarsfield 24.73%
    Draw 27.02%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.6% (0.159 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 48.24%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.61% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 24.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Defensa (3-2 pen.)
Saturday, April 20 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-3 Barracas Central
Tuesday, April 16 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-3 Racing
Tuesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, April 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-3 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Tuesday, April 16 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, April 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 1-0 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, March 31 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Instituto
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Tuesday, March 12 at 12.45am in Argentine Primera Division


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