SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
28.57% ( -0.87) | 25.38% ( -0.15) | 46.05% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% ( 0.17) | 49.85% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% ( 0.16) | 71.84% ( -0.16) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( -0.55) | 31.66% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% ( -0.63) | 68.08% ( 0.63) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( 0.54) | 21.65% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( 0.81) | 54.77% ( -0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.57% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.04% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
