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Arsenal logo
Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 18, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
AV
Aston Villa logo

Arsenal
2 - 2
Aston Villa

Martinelli (35'), Havertz (55')
Arteta (30'), Trossard (67'), Sterling (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tielemans (60'), Watkins (68')
Maatsen (20'), Emery (63'), Kamara (78'), Rogers (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Spurs
Wednesday, January 15 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 11.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
71.22% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02) 17.23% (0.038 0.04) 11.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-0.231 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.56% (-0.256 -0.26)38.43% (0.253 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.27% (-0.272 -0.27)60.72% (0.269 0.27)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)9.56% (0.068 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.99% (-0.166 -0.17)32.01% (0.162 0.16)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.46% (-0.212 -0.21)43.54% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.26% (-0.177 -0.18)79.74% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 71.22%
    Aston Villa 11.55%
    Draw 17.23%
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
2-0 @ 11.47% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 8.97% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.46% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.38% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 71.22%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 17.23%
0-1 @ 3.46% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 11.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Spurs
Wednesday, January 15 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Man Utd (3-5 pen.)
Sunday, January 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 7 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Arsenal
Saturday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-3 Arsenal
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Ipswich
Friday, December 27 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 West Ham
Friday, January 10 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Monday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Man City
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League


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