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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (4.77%).
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Manchester United |
63.2% ( -0.04) | 19.5% ( 0.03) | 17.29% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.65% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.83% ( -0.07) | 36.16% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.72% ( -0.08) | 58.28% ( 0.08) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.08% ( -0.03) | 10.92% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.9% ( -0.07) | 35.1% ( 0.08) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( -0.02) | 34.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.15% ( -0.02) | 70.85% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.77% Total : 63.2% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.5% | 1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 17.29% |
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