SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 0-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Brentford win it was 2-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Arsenal |
19.65% ( 0.1) | 20.34% ( 0.04) | 60.01% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 60.24% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.8% ( -0.05) | 36.19% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.69% ( -0.05) | 58.31% ( 0.05) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( 0.07) | 31.72% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.85% ( 0.07) | 68.14% ( -0.07) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.22% ( -0.05) | 11.77% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.04% ( -0.11) | 36.96% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 19.65% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0)1-3 @ 7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.15% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 60.01% |
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