SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
67.46% ( 1.81) | 17.44% ( -0.37) | 15.09% ( -1.45) |
| Both teams to score 61.34% ( -2.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.56% ( -1.26) | 30.43% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.28% ( -1.52) | 51.71% ( 1.52) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.66% ( 0.05) | 8.33% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.95% ( 0.14) | 29.05% ( -0.14) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( -2.5) | 33.07% ( 2.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.33% ( -2.86) | 69.67% ( 2.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.63)3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.54)1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.49)4-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.18)5-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.13)6-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.82% Total : 67.46% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.32)0-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.44% | 1-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.7% Total : 15.09% |
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