SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 80.31%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 7.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Everton |
80.31% ( -0.25) | 12.54% ( 0.12) | 7.15% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.44% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.28% ( -0.03) | 29.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.14% ( -0.04) | 50.85% ( 0.04) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.3% ( -0.06) | 5.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.99% ( -0.15) | 22.01% ( 0.14) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.49% ( 0.33) | 46.51% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.89% ( 0.25) | 82.11% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Everton |
| 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.44% Total : 80.3% | 1-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 12.54% | 1-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 7.15% |
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