SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
32.56% ( 0.06) | 25.52% ( 0.03) | 41.93% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% ( -0.08) | 48.7% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( -0.07) | 70.81% ( 0.08) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( 0) | 28.33% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% | 64.06% ( 0) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( -0.08) | 23.09% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.07% ( -0.12) | 56.93% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.93% |
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