Elfsborg have failed to take anything from their previous two European away games, and we think that they could fall to another away defeat when they go up against an Athletic side that have won four of their previous five home matches in all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
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