Athletic proved to be a strong force at San Mames last season, winning 12, drawing six and losing just one of their previous 19 matches. We think that will continue to make full use of home advantage this term, beginning with a narrow victory in Thursday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 13.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Getafe
63.94% ( -1.9)	22.15% ( 0.75)	13.91% ( 1.14)

Both teams to score 42.31% (

0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.1% (

-0.59)

53.9% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.64% (

-0.5)

75.36% (

0.5)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.71% (

-0.83)

16.29% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.15% (

-1.53)

45.85% (

1.53)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.55% (

1.46)

49.45% (

-1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.72% (

84.28% (

-1)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 63.93%

Getafe 13.91%

Draw 22.14%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Getafe
1-0 @ 14.61% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 13.26% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.51) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 63.93%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.14%	0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.62% Total : 13.91%