SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
38.81% ( 0.3) | 24.38% ( 0.05) | 36.81% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 60.02% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.27% ( -0.24) | 42.74% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.86% ( -0.25) | 65.14% ( 0.25) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( 0.04) | 22.02% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.66% ( 0.06) | 55.34% ( -0.06) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( -0.29) | 23.04% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.15% ( -0.43) | 56.86% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.81% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.81% |
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