SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | RB Leipzig |
49.36% ( 0.48) | 22.88% ( -0.11) | 27.75% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 61.43% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.81% ( 0.26) | 39.18% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.48% ( 0.27) | 61.51% ( -0.27) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( 0.27) | 16.12% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.46% ( 0.49) | 45.54% ( -0.5) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( -0.13) | 26.75% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( -0.17) | 62.03% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.59% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.75% |
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