Despite keeping a glut of clean sheets in all competitions in the lead-up to Sunday's game, Bahia could come unstuck against an Atletico Mineiro team that have thrived for months on their turf, keen to win a seventh league clash in front of their fans in eight attempts.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
0.69) 
-0.28) 
