The hosts are experiencing a dismal run of results heading into this game, without a win in their last seven, while the visitors are without a league defeat in their last 11, leading us to believe Botafogo will win here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
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