Mineiro will not be an easy defensive unit to break down, but Fogo are more than comfortable in tight games, and we believe they will find a solution given all the momentum they have on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Botafogo
35.33% ( -0)	27.45% ( -0)	37.22% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.44% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.8%

56.2% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.75% (

77.25% (

-0)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.73% (

-0)

30.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.56% (

-0)

66.43% (

-0)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

29.1% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.98% (

65.02% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 35.32%

Botafogo 37.22%

Draw 27.45%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.32%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 10.87% 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.22%