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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Bahia |
60.04% ( 1.31) | 21.66% ( -0.69) | 18.31% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( 2.06) | 44.41% ( -2.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( 1.97) | 66.79% ( -1.96) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.62% ( 1.11) | 14.38% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.74% ( 2.11) | 42.26% ( -2.11) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.03% ( 0.52) | 37.97% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.26% ( 0.5) | 74.74% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.75% Total : 60.02% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.5)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.31% |
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