SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Racing Club |
45.12% ( -0.13) | 26.21% ( 0.02) | 28.67% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( -0.04) | 53.14% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( -0.03) | 74.71% ( 0.03) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( -0.08) | 23.48% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( -0.11) | 57.5% ( 0.11) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% ( 0.06) | 33.31% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.07% ( 0.06) | 69.93% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.67% |
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