Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
0.39) 
-0.03) 
