Austin FC and Minnesota United set out in search of a morale-boosting result following a rough one last week. While Los Verdes' home advantage makes them slight favourites, we predict that the visitors will do just enough to force a share of the spoils and maintain their unbeaten league run.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
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