SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
40.61% ( 0.19) | 27.68% ( 0.07) | 31.72% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.41% ( -0.32) | 57.59% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.63% ( -0.25) | 78.37% ( 0.25) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( -0.04) | 27.82% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.59% ( -0.05) | 63.41% ( 0.05) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( -0.35) | 33.4% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% ( -0.38) | 70.02% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.71% |
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