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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 52.27%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Newry City AFC |
52.27% ( 11.75) | 23.02% ( -1.57) | 24.72% ( -10.19) |
| Both teams to score 58% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.58% ( 1.51) | 42.41% ( -1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.18% ( 1.49) | 64.82% ( -1.5) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( 5.43) | 16.27% ( -5.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.18% ( 9.05) | 45.81% ( -9.05) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( -6.1) | 30.73% ( 6.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.01% ( -7.85) | 66.99% ( 7.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.99) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.91)2-0 @ 8.24% ( 2.01)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 1.44)3-0 @ 4.99% ( 1.81)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.35)4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.97)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 1.05)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.39)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.45)Other @ 3.38% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.73) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.39)0-0 @ 5% ( -0.35)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -1.7) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -1.59)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -1.77)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -1.26)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.6)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -1.08)Other @ 2.9% Total : 24.72% |
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