SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barcelona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
53.89% ( 2.33) | 23.12% ( -0.34) | 22.98% ( -1.99) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% ( -0.5) | 44.65% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( -0.49) | 67.02% ( 0.49) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.5% ( 0.66) | 16.5% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.77% ( 1.17) | 46.23% ( -1.17) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( -1.97) | 33.42% ( 1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.94% ( -2.22) | 70.05% ( 2.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.57)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.45)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.25)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.89% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.31% Total : 22.98% |
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