SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
43.06% ( -0.39) | 23.14% ( -0.03) | 33.8% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 64.04% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.76% ( 0.28) | 37.24% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.55% ( 0.3) | 59.45% ( -0.3) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( -0.05) | 17.78% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.52% ( -0.08) | 48.48% ( 0.08) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( 0.36) | 22.12% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% ( 0.54) | 55.48% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.93% Total : 43.06% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.43% Total : 33.8% |
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