Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
