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League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
M

Barrow
0 - 1
Morecambe


Jackson (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tollitt (82')
White (37'), Adams (38'), Tollitt (45+3'), Lewis (62'), Hope (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Barrow
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Morecambe 4-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Barrow 2-1 Morecambe

Despite their struggles, Morecambe have proven to be difficult to beat in recent weeks, drawing four of their last five games in League Two, but we are expecting Barrow to navigate their way to all three points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawMorecambe
56.59% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 24.55% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 18.86% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.4% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.79% (0.033999999999999 0.03)55.2% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (0.027999999999999 0.03)76.44% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.028999999999996 0.03)19.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.76% (0.045999999999999 0.05)51.24% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.65% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.16% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)79.83% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 56.58%
    Morecambe 18.86%
    Draw 24.54%
BarrowDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 13.89%
2-0 @ 11.38%
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.22% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 56.58%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 18.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Barrow
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barrow 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Barrow
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-0 Barrow
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chelsea 5-0 Barrow
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Newport
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 4-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Morecambe
Monday, September 23 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 3-3 Colchester
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two


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