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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
64.52% ( -2.44) | 18.37% ( 0.87) | 17.11% ( 1.57) |
| Both teams to score 62.64% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.1% ( -1.17) | 30.91% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.73% ( -1.4) | 52.27% ( 1.4) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% ( -0.84) | 9.11% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.07% ( -2.07) | 30.93% ( 2.07) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( 1) | 31.08% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.6% ( 1.15) | 67.4% ( -1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.2)1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.36)4-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 4.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.38)4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.24)5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.27)5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.1)4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.18% Total : 64.52% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.37% | 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.27% Total : 17.11% |
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