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Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
LL

Bayern
3 - 0
Lazio

Kane (39', 66'), Muller (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romagnoli (80'), Cataldi (89'), Pellegrini (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawLazio
69.01% (0.00099999999999056 0) 17.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 13.07%
Both teams to score 53.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.94% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1%9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39%40.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)77.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 69.01%
    Lazio 13.07%
    Draw 17.92%
Bayern MunichDrawLazio
2-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-0 @ 4.79%
4-1 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 3.37%
5-0 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.88%
Total : 69.01%
1-1 @ 8.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.37%
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.92%
1-2 @ 3.78%
0-1 @ 3.62%
0-2 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.31%
1-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 13.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Freiburg 2-2 Bayern
Friday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Bayern
Sunday, February 18 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Bayern
Wednesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 Bayern
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Lazio 0-1 AC Milan
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio
Monday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-2 Lazio
Thursday, February 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, February 18 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Bayern
Wednesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 Lazio
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Serie A


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