SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Stuttgart |
61.69% ( -1.26) | 19.94% ( 0.16) | 18.37% ( 1.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.28% ( 1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.64% ( 1.19) | 36.36% ( -1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.51% ( 1.29) | 58.49% ( -1.29) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.63% ( 0.02) | 11.37% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.91% ( 0.04) | 36.09% ( -0.04) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.89% ( 1.92) | 33.11% ( -1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.29% ( 2.07) | 69.71% ( -2.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.52)1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.37)3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.6% Total : 61.69% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.94% | 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.07% Total : 18.37% |
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