Despite their impressive defensive record, it is difficult to see how Union Berlin can keep Bayern Munich from scoring on Saturday given the hosts' rampant offensive displays this season.
If the visitors were to concede first, it would not be surprising if they struggled to create many chances given their poor showings in the final third this term.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
-0.27) 
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