SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Chile |
26.77% ( 0.19) | 25.1% ( 0.28) | 48.12% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.19% ( -1.04) | 49.8% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.19% ( -0.93) | 71.8% ( 0.93) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% ( -0.4) | 33.02% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.39% ( -0.45) | 69.61% ( 0.44) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( -0.62) | 20.72% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.66% ( -0.98) | 53.33% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivia | Draw | Chile |
| 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 26.77% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.61% Total : 48.11% |
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