Based purely on form this season, there can be only one winner, as Bologna are unbeaten in nine at home - winning eight - and Genoa have lost six out of nine on the road.
However, it will be interesting to see whether Bologna can respond to a bruising defeat last weekend, while Genoa will be riding high after three very impressive results to see out 2023.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
-1.29) 
0.35) 
