SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
27.71% ( 0.03) | 21.99% ( 0.03) | 50.3% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 64.67% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.09% ( -0.12) | 34.9% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.11% ( -0.13) | 56.88% ( 0.13) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( -0.05) | 24.58% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% ( -0.06) | 59.07% ( 0.05) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.75% ( -0.07) | 14.24% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58% ( -0.12) | 42% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.71% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.3% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
