SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boston River in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Danubio |
36.84% ( 2.88) | 28.13% ( -0.3) | 35.02% ( -2.58) |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.23% ( 1.15) | 58.77% ( -1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.71% ( 0.89) | 79.29% ( -0.89) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( 2.45) | 30.59% ( -2.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( 2.81) | 66.83% ( -2.8) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( -1.05) | 31.75% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% ( -1.22) | 68.18% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.47)2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.59)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.38)3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.84% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.84) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.68)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 35.02% |
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