SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
62.18% ( 4.83) | 21.36% ( -1.52) | 16.45% ( -3.31) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.78% ( 1.32) | 46.21% ( -1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.49% ( 1.23) | 68.5% ( -1.24) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% ( 2.02) | 14.29% ( -2.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.9% ( 3.8) | 42.1% ( -3.81) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.75% ( -3.06) | 41.25% ( 3.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.22% ( -2.83) | 77.78% ( 2.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.91)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.24% ( 1.05)3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.45)4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.71)4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.35)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.6% Total : 62.18% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.37)Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.78) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.74)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.58)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.45% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
